Market Analysis

Currency & Commodity Briefing

Daily USD/INR, gold, silver, crude oil and natural-gas outlook for Indian traders, importers and exporters.

Data as of Powered by liveworldmarket.com
Archive snapshot · 2026-09-01

You are viewing the frozen 08:00 IST briefing from . Verdict: Bullion mildly firm; energy firm. Live values will not change on this page.

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Market verdict
Bullion mildly firm; energy firm

The dashboard reflects Gold +0.53%, Silver +0.85%, Brent +0.54%, WTI +1.68%, Nat Gas +1.74%.

Gold +0.53%Silver +0.85%Brent +0.54%WTI +1.68%Nat Gas +1.74%
USD / INR (near-month future)
95.38
0.00 (0.00%)
Prev close
0.00
Day high
Day low
Source
NSE / Upstox
Gold
4,495.90USD/oz
23.90 (0.53%)
MCX Gold ₹/10g
1,54,456
MCX change %
-1.17%
Prev close
4,472.00
Source
Yahoo / Upstox
Silver
67.41USD/oz
0.57 (0.85%)
MCX Silver ₹/kg
2,33,977
MCX change %
-1.15%
Gold/Silver
66.69
Source
Yahoo / Upstox
Crude oil
90.98USD/bbl (Brent)
0.49 (0.54%)
WTI
86.52
MCX ₹/bbl
8,142
Brent-WTI
4.46
Source
Yahoo / Upstox
Natural gas
2.93USD/MMBtu
0.05 (1.74%)
MCX ₹/MMBtu
279.3
MCX change %
1.16%
Prev close
2.88
Source
Yahoo / Upstox

Cross pairs

EUR / INR
107.7800
0.00%
GBP / INR
129.2056
0.00%
JPY / INR
0.5901
0.00%
EUR / USD
1.1600
-0.07%
GBP / USD
1.3500
-0.05%

Importer & exporter impact

Importer sensitivity
USD payment cost
neutral
Crude / energy cost
adverse
Bullion procurement
adverse
Nat-gas cost
adverse
Exporter sensitivity
USD realisation
neutral
EUR realisation
neutral
GBP realisation
neutral

Impact reflects USD/INR direction and EUR/USD, GBP/USD cross moves. Not a hedging recommendation.

Business typeRelevant instrumentsToday's sensitivity
Oil importersBrent, WTI, USD/INRadverse
AirlinesCrude oil, USD/INRadverse
Paint companiesCrude derivatives, USD/INRadverse
JewellersGold, Silver, USD/INRadverse
Fertiliser companiesNatural gas, USD/INRadverse
IT exportersUSD/INRneutral
Textile exportersUSD/INR, EUR/USDneutral
Metal usersSilver, USD/INRadverse

USD / INR — detailed analysis

Near-month future
Price
95.3803
Change
0.0000
% change
0.00%
Prev close
0.0000
Source
NSE / Upstox
Drivers
  • Brent crude is higher; elevated crude prices weigh on the rupee.

Gold — detailed analysis

Gold/Silver ratio: 66.69
International
4,495.90
% change (intl)
0.53%
MCX Gold ₹/10g
1,54,456
MCX % change
-1.17%
Prev close
4,472.00
MCX Gold Mini
1,54,520
Source
Yahoo / Upstox
Drivers
  • International price is higher at 4495.9 (+0.53%).
  • MCX price is lower (-1.17%) — the MCX contract is trading at a discount to the international basis.
Why is the MCX price moving differently?
International
0.53%
USD/INR contribution
0.00%
Residual (basis / timing)
-1.70%

MCX % ≈ international % + USD/INR % + residual (basis, timing, local factors). Indicative only when the two feeds have different intra-day snapshot times.

Technical scenarios
Current 4,495.90 · Between S1 and R1 — consolidation
Prev high
4,519.80
Prev low
4,448.10
Prev close
4,472.00
Pivot
4,479.97
S1
4,440.13
S2
4,408.27
R1
4,511.83
R2
4,551.67
Sustained trading above 4511.8333 may indicate improving intraday momentum.
Trading between 4440.1333 and 4511.8333 indicates consolidation around the pivot.
A sustained move below 4440.1333 may indicate weakening intraday momentum.

Technical levels are classic pivot points calculated from the previous day's high / low / close. General market reference points — not personalised trading recommendations.

Silver — detailed analysis

Gold/Silver ratio: 66.69
International
67.41
% change (intl)
0.85%
MCX Silver ₹/kg
2,33,977
MCX % change
-1.15%
Prev close
66.84
MCX Silver Mini
2,42,350
Source
Yahoo / Upstox
Drivers
  • International price is higher at 67.41 (+0.85%).
  • MCX price is lower (-1.15%) — the MCX contract is trading at a discount to the international basis.
Why is the MCX price moving differently?
International
0.85%
USD/INR contribution
0.00%
Residual (basis / timing)
-2.01%

MCX % ≈ international % + USD/INR % + residual (basis, timing, local factors). Indicative only when the two feeds have different intra-day snapshot times.

Technical scenarios
Current 67.41 · Between S1 and R1 — consolidation
Prev high
67.98
Prev low
66.27
Prev close
66.84
Pivot
67.03
S1
66.08
S2
65.32
R1
67.79
R2
68.74
Sustained trading above 67.79 may indicate improving intraday momentum.
Trading between 66.08 and 67.79 indicates consolidation around the pivot.
A sustained move below 66.08 may indicate weakening intraday momentum.

Technical levels are classic pivot points calculated from the previous day's high / low / close. General market reference points — not personalised trading recommendations.

Crude oil — detailed analysis

Brent-WTI spread: 4.46 USD/bbl
Brent
90.98
Brent % change
0.54%
WTI
86.52
MCX Crude ₹/bbl
8,142
Prev close (Brent)
90.49
MCX % change
1.98%
Source
Yahoo / Upstox
Drivers
  • Brent is higher at 90.98 USD/bbl (+0.54%).
  • WTI is higher (+1.68%), Brent-WTI spread at +4.46 USD/bbl.
  • MCX Crude is higher (+1.98%) — rupee move (USD/INR +0.00%) contributes to the local print.
Why is the MCX price moving differently?
International
0.54%
USD/INR contribution
0.00%
Residual (basis / timing)
1.44%

MCX % ≈ international % + USD/INR % + residual (basis, timing, local factors). Indicative only when the two feeds have different intra-day snapshot times.

Technical scenarios
Current 90.98 · Between S1 and R1 — consolidation
Prev high
91.47
Prev low
90.00
Prev close
90.49
Pivot
90.65
S1
89.84
S2
89.18
R1
91.31
R2
92.12
Sustained trading above 91.3067 may indicate improving intraday momentum.
Trading between 89.8367 and 91.3067 indicates consolidation around the pivot.
A sustained move below 89.8367 may indicate weakening intraday momentum.

Technical levels are classic pivot points calculated from the previous day's high / low / close. General market reference points — not personalised trading recommendations.

Natural gas — detailed analysis

Henry Hub vs MCX
Henry Hub
2.930
% change (intl)
1.74%
MCX ₹/MMBtu
279.3
MCX % change
1.16%
Prev close (HH)
2.880
Source
Yahoo / Upstox
Drivers
  • Henry Hub natural gas is higher at 2.93 USD/MMBtu (+1.74%).
  • MCX Natural Gas is higher (+1.16%).
Why is the MCX price moving differently?
International
1.74%
USD/INR contribution
0.00%
Residual (basis / timing)
-0.58%

MCX % ≈ international % + USD/INR % + residual (basis, timing, local factors). Indicative only when the two feeds have different intra-day snapshot times.

Technical scenarios
Current 2.93 · Between S1 and R1 — consolidation
Prev high
2.98
Prev low
2.83
Prev close
2.88
Pivot
2.90
S1
2.81
S2
2.75
R1
2.96
R2
3.05
Sustained trading above 2.9633 may indicate improving intraday momentum.
Trading between 2.8133 and 2.9633 indicates consolidation around the pivot.
A sustained move below 2.8133 may indicate weakening intraday momentum.

Technical levels are classic pivot points calculated from the previous day's high / low / close. General market reference points — not personalised trading recommendations.

Currency movement impact calculator

Illustrative only. Excludes bank spreads, forward premia, taxes and transaction charges. Not a hedging recommendation.

At current rate
₹95,38,030
At comparison rate
₹95,88,030
Additional cost
+₹50,000
Per ₹0.10 move
₹10,000
Per 1% move
₹95,380.3

Economic & event calendar

Later this week
Upcoming days
  1. 23:30US US Non-Farm Payrolls (Aug)GoldSilverUSD/INR
  2. 23:30US US CPI (Aug)GoldSilverUSD/INR
  3. 23:30US FOMC Rate Decision + Powell Presser (SEP)All marketsGoldSilver
  4. 23:30US US Non-Farm Payrolls (Sep)GoldSilverUSD/INR
  5. 23:30US US CPI (Sep)GoldSilverUSD/INR

Key currency & commodity news

  1. Bullion1 Sept 2026, 7:27 am IST
    Gold steadies as traders await US jobs data, monitor Mideast tensions

    Gold prices held steady as traders navigated heightened tensions in the Middle East and awaited pivotal labor data from the US. This economic data is expected to shape the market's forecast regarding Federal Reserve policy moves. With a 65% likelihood of a rate increase in Septem

    Economic Times
  2. Currency1 Sept 2026, 7:24 am IST
    Yen hangs near 160 amid BOJ rate-hike bets, dollar wobbles

    The yen stabilized near 160 against the dollar on Tuesday. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urged the Bank of Japan to raise rates. Currency markets watched renewed Middle East conflict and rising oil prices. Traders anticipate a potential Federal Reserve rate hike in Septembe

    Economic Times
  3. Central Banks1 Sept 2026, 3:03 am IST
    FirstFT: Japan’s bonds and currency under pressure after Fed chair’s Jackson Hole speech

    Also in today’s newsletter: India’s GDP beats expectations and South Korea jails Unification Church leader over bribery scandal

    Financial Times
  4. Energy1 Sept 2026, 7:41 am IST
    Oil Price Today (September 1): Crude oil above $90 as US, Iran attacks jolt Hormuz hopes. $100 in sight?

    Oil prices rose on Tuesday as renewed fighting between the U.S. and Iran in the Middle East revived concerns over potential supply disruptions from the world’s key crude-producing region.

    Economic Times
  5. Energy1 Sept 2026, 2:05 am IST
    Trump says US will hit Iran ‘hard’ as conflict reignites

    Oil prices rise after exchange of fire between warring countries ends weeks of relative quiet

    Financial Times
  6. Central Banks1 Sept 2026, 1:38 am IST
    US regulator claims Amazon manipulated advertising prices

    Federal Trade Commission sues ecommerce giant alleging it overcharged about 1.2mn businesses leading to higher prices for consumers

    Financial Times
  7. Currency1 Sept 2026, 7:26 am IST
    Fresh rupee deposit rates experience a notable drop this July

    Fresh rupee term deposit rates saw a slight decrease in July. Outstanding rupee deposit rates, however, remained stable during the same period. Lending rates on outstanding rupee loans also showed little change in July. The one-year average marginal cost of funds-based lending ra

    Economic Times

Five things to know in currency & commodities today

  1. 1
    Gold steadies as traders await US jobs data, monitor Mideast tensions

    Gold prices held steady as traders navigated heightened tensions in the Middle East and awaited pivotal labor data from the US. This economic data is expected to shape the market's forecast regarding Federal Reserve policy moves. With a 65% likelihood of a rate increase in Septem

    Economic Times · 1 Sept 2026, 7:27 am IST
  2. 2
    Yen hangs near 160 amid BOJ rate-hike bets, dollar wobbles

    The yen stabilized near 160 against the dollar on Tuesday. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urged the Bank of Japan to raise rates. Currency markets watched renewed Middle East conflict and rising oil prices. Traders anticipate a potential Federal Reserve rate hike in Septembe

    Economic Times · 1 Sept 2026, 7:24 am IST
  3. 3
    FirstFT: Japan’s bonds and currency under pressure after Fed chair’s Jackson Hole speech

    Also in today’s newsletter: India’s GDP beats expectations and South Korea jails Unification Church leader over bribery scandal

    Financial Times · 1 Sept 2026, 3:03 am IST
  4. 4
    Oil Price Today (September 1): Crude oil above $90 as US, Iran attacks jolt Hormuz hopes. $100 in sight?

    Oil prices rose on Tuesday as renewed fighting between the U.S. and Iran in the Middle East revived concerns over potential supply disruptions from the world’s key crude-producing region.

    Economic Times · 1 Sept 2026, 7:41 am IST
  5. 5
    Trump says US will hit Iran ‘hard’ as conflict reignites

    Oil prices rise after exchange of fire between warring countries ends weeks of relative quiet

    Financial Times · 1 Sept 2026, 2:05 am IST

Previous Currency & Commodity Briefings

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