Market Analysis

Weekly Technical Outlook

Support, resistance, trend bias and options-driven technical scenarios for Nifty 50, Bank Nifty and Sensex.

Data as of Data cut-off: 2026-08-21
Archive snapshot · 2026-08-23

Locked outlook from . Verdict: Neutral to Positive. Not updated during the week.

Overall weekly bias
Week: 2026-08-242026-08-28 · Data cut-off: 2026-08-21
Neutral to Positive

Nifty 50: Neutral, Bank Nifty: Mildly Bullish, Sensex: Neutral. Confidence varies by index.

nifty_50: Neutralbank_nifty: Mildly Bullishsensex: Neutral
Nifty 50
Neutral
24,252.00 -0.47%
Confidence
Low
Market regime
Consolidation
Technical score
+0
RSI (14)
22.2
Close vs 20 EMA
24,299.79
Weekly range
24,025.6524,360.10
Immediate resistance
24,399.52 · 24,547.03
Immediate support
24,065.07 · 23,878.13
Bias invalidation
Bias valid above 24,065.07 · Bearish risk below 23,878.13 · Bullish upside above 24,399.52
Expected weekly range: 24,051.3324,452.67
Bank Nifty
Mildly Bullish
57,761.95 0.47%
Confidence
Moderate
Market regime
Consolidation
Technical score
+2
RSI (14)
42.1
Close vs 20 EMA
57,529.92
Weekly range
57,001.7557,772.45
Immediate resistance
58,022.35 · 58,282.75
Immediate support
57,251.65 · 56,741.35
Bias invalidation
Bias valid above 57,251.65 · Bearish risk below 56,741.35 · Bullish upside above 58,022.35
Expected weekly range: 57,299.5358,224.37
Sensex
Neutral
77,540.83 -0.60%
Confidence
Moderate
Market regime
Consolidation
Technical score
+0
RSI (14)
35.3
Close vs 20 EMA
77,701.34
Weekly range
76,822.8977,928.68
Immediate resistance
78,038.71 · 78,536.59
Immediate support
76,932.92 · 76,325.01
Bias invalidation
Bias valid above 76,932.92 · Bearish risk below 76,325.01 · Bullish upside above 78,038.71
Expected weekly range: 76,877.3578,204.30

Previous week at a glance

Nifty 50
Open · High
24,343.45 · 24,360.10
Low · Close
24,025.65 · 24,252.00
Return
-0.47%
Range (pts / %)
334.45 · 1.37%
Sessions +/−
1 / 4
Candle type
Bearish rejection candle
Low 24,025.65Close 24,252.00 · 68%High 24,360.10
Strongest session
2026-08-20+6.40
Weakest session
2026-08-19-73.75
Bank Nifty
Open · High
57,418.30 · 57,772.45
Low · Close
57,001.75 · 57,761.95
Return
0.47%
Range (pts / %)
770.70 · 1.34%
Sessions +/−
2 / 3
Candle type
Neutral candle
Low 57,001.75Close 57,761.95 · 99%High 57,772.45
Strongest session
2026-08-21+148.75
Weakest session
2026-08-18-63.15
Sensex
Open · High
77,892.92 · 77,928.68
Low · Close
76,822.89 · 77,540.83
Return
-0.60%
Range (pts / %)
1,105.79 · 1.42%
Sessions +/−
1 / 4
Candle type
Bearish rejection candle
Low 76,822.89Close 77,540.83 · 65%High 77,928.68
Strongest session
2026-08-20+69.27
Weakest session
2026-08-19-308.37

Technical scorecards

NIFTY 50
Total +0
IndicatorReadingSignalScore
Weekly structureLower high/mixedNeutral+0
Close vs 20 EMABelow (24299.79)Negative-1
Close vs 50 EMAAbove (24190.75)Positive+1
Close vs 200 EMABelow (24641.93)Negative-1
RSI (14)22.16Negative-1
Weekly return-0.47%Neutral+0
BANK NIFTY
Total +2
IndicatorReadingSignalScore
Weekly structureHigher highPositive+1
Close vs 20 EMAAbove (57529.92)Positive+1
Close vs 50 EMAAbove (57223.03)Positive+1
Close vs 200 EMAAbove (57213.78)Positive+1
RSI (14)42.09Negative-1
Weekly return+0.47%Neutral+0
SENSEX
Total +0
IndicatorReadingSignalScore
Weekly structureLower high/mixedNeutral+0
Close vs 20 EMABelow (77701.34)Negative-1
Close vs 50 EMAAbove (77383.84)Positive+1
Close vs 200 EMABelow (79513.38)Negative-1
RSI (14)35.26Negative-1
Weekly return-0.60%Neutral+0

Recommended bands: +6 Strong Bullish · +3 to +5 Bullish · −2 to +2 Neutral · −3 to −5 Bearish · −6 Strong Bearish.

Support & resistance zones (with confluence scoring)

Nifty 50
Support zones
ZoneStrengthConfluenceFactors
24,004.4424,125.70Strong3
Weekly pivotWeekly lowPsychological 24100
23,817.5023,938.76Moderate2
Weekly pivotPsychological 23900
Resistance zones
ZoneStrengthConfluenceFactors
24,338.8924,460.15Strong3
Weekly pivotWeekly highPsychological 24400
24,486.4024,607.66Moderate2
Weekly pivotPsychological 24500
Bank Nifty
Support zones
ZoneStrengthConfluenceFactors
57,107.2457,396.05Strong3
Weekly pivot50 EMAPsychological 57300
56,596.9556,885.76Moderate2
Weekly pivotPsychological 56700
Resistance zones
ZoneStrengthConfluenceFactors
57,877.9458,166.75Moderate2
Weekly pivotPsychological 58000
58,138.3458,427.15Moderate2
Weekly pivotPsychological 58300
Sensex
Support zones
ZoneStrengthConfluenceFactors
76,739.0777,126.77Strong3
Weekly pivotWeekly lowPsychological 77000
76,131.1676,518.86Moderate2
Weekly pivotPsychological 76500
Resistance zones
ZoneStrengthConfluenceFactors
77,844.8678,232.56Strong3
Weekly pivotWeekly highPsychological 78000
78,342.7478,730.44Moderate2
Weekly pivotPsychological 78500

Confluence counts independent factors overlapping the zone (weekly pivot, moving averages, weekly high/low, psychological round-numbers).

Expected weekly ranges (multi-method)

Nifty 50
Close 24,252.00
Historical volatility
23,946.8724,557.13
Width 610.26
Previous-week range
24,051.3324,452.67
Width 401.34
Options-implied
24,092.2524,411.75
Width 319.50
Combined reference
24,030.1524,473.85
Width 443.70

Historical volatility uses the last 20 daily returns × √5. Previous-week range is scaled by 0.6. Combined = midpoint of the two ranges. Options-implied range is populated when weekly ATM straddle data is available.

Bank Nifty
Close 57,761.95
Historical volatility
57,002.7458,521.16
Width 1,518.42
Previous-week range
57,299.5358,224.37
Width 924.84
Options-implied
57,268.5058,255.40
Width 986.90
Combined reference
57,190.2658,333.64
Width 1,143.38

Historical volatility uses the last 20 daily returns × √5. Previous-week range is scaled by 0.6. Combined = midpoint of the two ranges. Options-implied range is populated when weekly ATM straddle data is available.

Sensex
Close 77,540.83
Historical volatility
76,653.9478,427.72
Width 1,773.78
Previous-week range
76,877.3578,204.30
Width 1,326.95
Options-implied
76,794.9878,286.68
Width 1,491.70
Combined reference
76,775.4278,306.23
Width 1,530.81

Historical volatility uses the last 20 daily returns × √5. Previous-week range is scaled by 0.6. Combined = midpoint of the two ranges. Options-implied range is populated when weekly ATM straddle data is available.

Options positioning

Nifty 50
Exp 2026-08-25
24,252.00ATM 24,250
PCR (OI)
1.083
PCR (volume)
1.160
Max pain
24,250
ATM straddle
159.75
Implied move
± 0.66%
Call wall
24,300
Put floor
24,000
Options-implied range
24,092.2524,411.75

Balanced positioning

Bank Nifty
Exp 2026-08-25
57,761.95ATM 57,800
PCR (OI)
0.870
PCR (volume)
0.853
Max pain
57,700
ATM straddle
493.45
Implied move
± 0.85%
Call wall
58,000
Put floor
57,000
Options-implied range
57,268.5058,255.40

Balanced positioning

Sensex
Exp 2026-08-27
77,540.83ATM 77,500
PCR (OI)
1.104
PCR (volume)
1.176
Max pain
77,600
ATM straddle
745.85
Implied move
± 0.96%
Call wall
77,600
Put floor
77,500
Options-implied range
76,794.9878,286.68

Balanced positioning

PCR = Put OI / Call OI. Values ≥ 1.25 = put-heavy, potentially supportive. ≤ 0.75 = call-heavy, potentially resistance-heavy. Options positioning may change materially after the market opens, around major events and near contract expiry.

Options open-interest heatmap

Nifty 50 · OI ladder (±10 strikes around ATM 24,250)
CE OICE ΔCE IVStrikePE IVPE ΔPE OI
45,240013.623,75011.3024,63,370
6,10,350011.723,80010.7074,40,420
70,005011.023,85010.1031,76,875
2,73,780010.323,9009.6067,11,055
2,00,33009.723,9509.2034,72,560
59,39,63508.924,0008.801,78,14,550
5,72,78009.024,0508.5033,77,400
27,77,51508.324,1008.2087,37,365
12,18,88008.124,1508.0061,41,135
91,22,16508.024,2007.801,55,03,670
68,61,53007.924,250ATM7.7069,58,770
1,38,76,98007.924,3007.6098,35,345
45,74,63507.824,3507.4019,89,780
97,74,44007.724,4007.3035,21,960
37,15,79007.724,4507.405,63,745
1,32,50,44507.824,5007.1037,54,530
50,39,51507.924,5507.401,84,340
85,38,01008.124,6007.208,73,665
34,02,03508.524,6505.901,72,965
68,14,40508.924,7007.807,68,235
32,94,98009.324,7507.6093,275
Bank Nifty · OI ladder (±10 strikes around ATM 57,800)
CE OICE ΔCE IVStrikePE IVPE ΔPE OI
34,860010.956,80011.303,48,390
79,230011.156,90011.102,67,480
5,62,140010.957,00010.9013,35,810
1,15,800011.157,10010.603,39,450
1,42,110010.257,20010.503,75,270
1,50,660010.157,30010.403,02,940
2,22,450010.257,40010.103,19,560
8,78,25009.957,5009.9011,00,040
3,95,88009.957,6009.903,15,390
7,98,180010.157,7009.905,59,980
5,03,820010.057,800ATM9.802,14,290
5,97,930010.057,9009.701,78,170
23,03,85009.958,0009.7010,67,940
3,43,56009.958,1009.602,01,450
3,84,63009.958,2009.801,08,840
2,71,20009.958,30010.2044,490
2,94,480010.058,4009.3014,310
12,12,930010.158,5008.901,06,650
2,74,560010.258,6009.408,400
3,45,540010.758,7000.005,790
2,24,400010.858,80010.307,050
Sensex · OI ladder (±10 strikes around ATM 77,500)
CE OICE ΔCE IVStrikePE IVPE ΔPE OI
34,64008.176,50010.402,64,320
4,04008.476,60010.201,87,200
7,02008.376,70010.101,53,720
10,88008.776,80010.001,27,380
28,74008.676,90010.001,38,040
2,01,04008.477,0009.905,72,140
24,38008.577,1009.901,16,080
40,36008.577,2009.801,74,120
51,64008.677,3009.802,69,680
92,20008.577,4009.603,92,860
5,86,96008.677,500ATM9.608,44,420
7,73,80008.577,6009.505,44,580
6,81,86008.777,7009.703,91,280
2,86,62008.677,8009.001,60,420
1,82,60008.777,9009.5090,200
5,90,64008.678,0009.403,05,500
2,07,60008.778,1009.4030,440
1,60,06008.778,2009.6018,580
1,35,46008.778,3009.8023,200
87,16008.778,4009.907,780
4,87,16008.778,50010.0063,060

Conditional scenarios · bullish / range-bound / bearish

Nifty 50
Bullish scenario
Trigger 24,399.52 · A sustained move above 24399.52 with supportive breadth may open room toward 24547.03.
Invalidates if price returns below 24,065.07.
Range-bound scenario
Range 24,065.0724,399.52. Trading between 24065.07 and 24399.52 would indicate continued consolidation near the pivot at 24212.58.
Bearish scenario
Trigger 24,065.07 · A sustained break below 24065.07 may expose the 23878.13 support zone.
Invalidates if price recovers above 24,399.52.
Bias invalidation framework
Bias valid above 24,065.07 · Bearish risk below 23,878.13 · Bullish conviction above 24,399.52
Bank Nifty
Bullish scenario
Trigger 58,022.35 · A sustained move above 58022.35 with supportive breadth may open room toward 58282.75.
Invalidates if price returns below 57,251.65.
Range-bound scenario
Range 57,251.6558,022.35. Trading between 57251.65 and 58022.35 would indicate continued consolidation near the pivot at 57512.05.
Bearish scenario
Trigger 57,251.65 · A sustained break below 57251.65 may expose the 56741.35 support zone.
Invalidates if price recovers above 58,022.35.
Bias invalidation framework
Bias valid above 57,251.65 · Bearish risk below 56,741.35 · Bullish conviction above 58,022.35
Sensex
Bullish scenario
Trigger 78,038.71 · A sustained move above 78038.71 with supportive breadth may open room toward 78536.59.
Invalidates if price returns below 76,932.92.
Range-bound scenario
Range 76,932.9278,038.71. Trading between 76932.92 and 78038.71 would indicate continued consolidation near the pivot at 77430.8.
Bearish scenario
Trigger 76,932.92 · A sustained break below 76932.92 may expose the 76325.01 support zone.
Invalidates if price recovers above 78,038.71.
Bias invalidation framework
Bias valid above 76,932.92 · Bearish risk below 76,325.01 · Bullish conviction above 78,038.71

Scenarios are conditional and use rule-based technical zones. Not personalised trading or hedging recommendations.

Market breadth & sector confirmation

Advances vs declines
4,1765,2130.80× A/D
Negative Breadth
52W highs / lows
13980
Sector participation
7up6down
Leading: Metal, Banking, Realty
Lagging: FMCG, Auto, Media

Heavyweight contribution

Top positive Nifty 50 movers
  1. POWERGRID
    POWER GRID CORP. LTD.
    +2.87%
  2. HDFCLIFE
    HDFC LIFE INS CO LTD
    +2.36%
  3. KOTAKBANK
    KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK LTD
    +1.37%
  4. NESTLEIND
    NESTLE INDIA LIMITED
    +1.31%
  5. BEL
    BHARAT ELECTRONICS LTD
    +1.12%
Top negative Nifty 50 movers
  1. MARUTI
    MARUTI SUZUKI INDIA LTD.
    -1.77%
  2. TRENT
    TRENT LTD
    -1.55%
  3. HCLTECH
    HCL TECHNOLOGIES LTD
    -1.21%
  4. INDIGO
    INTERGLOBE AVIATION LTD
    -1.06%
  5. ONGC
    OIL AND NATURAL GAS CORP.
    -0.88%

Nifty 50 constituents (screener_snapshots) · % change is a proxy for approximate index-point contribution.

Institutional positioning (FII / DII)

As of 21-Aug-2026
FII cash segment
Net-543₹ cr
Buy+12,561₹ cr
Sell+13,104₹ cr
DII cash segment
Net+2,124₹ cr
Buy+15,259₹ cr
Sell+13,135₹ cr

Events that could change the technical setup

Later this week
  1. 23:30USUS Non-Farm Payrolls (Aug)GoldSilverUSD/INR
  2. 23:30USUS CPI (Aug)GoldSilverUSD/INR
  3. 23:30USFOMC Rate Decision + Powell Presser (SEP)All marketsGoldSilver
  4. 23:30USUS Non-Farm Payrolls (Sep)GoldSilverUSD/INR

Previous Weekly Technical Outlooks

Sunday 16:00 IST snapshots — permanent archive links.