Market Analysis

Weekly Technical Outlook

Support, resistance, trend bias and options-driven technical scenarios for Nifty 50, Bank Nifty and Sensex.

Data as of Data cut-off: 2026-09-04
Overall weekly bias
Week: 2026-09-072026-09-11 · Data cut-off: 2026-09-04
Mixed weekly bias

Nifty 50: Mildly Bearish, Bank Nifty: Mildly Bullish, Sensex: Mildly Bearish. Confidence varies by index.

nifty_50: Mildly Bearishbank_nifty: Mildly Bullishsensex: Mildly Bearish
Nifty 50
Mildly Bearish
23,897.70 -1.15%
Confidence
Moderate
Market regime
Consolidation
Technical score
-2
RSI (14)
33.6
Close vs 20 EMA
24,139.43
Weekly range
23,786.8024,143.15
Immediate resistance
24,098.30 · 24,298.90
Immediate support
23,741.95 · 23,586.20
Bias invalidation
Bias valid above 23,741.95 · Bearish risk below 23,586.20 · Bullish upside above 24,098.30
Expected weekly range: 23,683.8924,111.51
Bank Nifty
Mildly Bullish
57,369.65 -0.22%
Confidence
Moderate
Market regime
Range-Bound
Technical score
+2
RSI (14)
48.0
Close vs 20 EMA
57,505.18
Weekly range
56,823.2058,024.95
Immediate resistance
57,988.67 · 58,607.68
Immediate support
56,786.92 · 56,204.18
Bias invalidation
Bias valid above 56,786.92 · Bearish risk below 56,204.18 · Bullish upside above 57,988.67
Expected weekly range: 56,648.6058,090.70
Sensex
Mildly Bearish
76,515.43 -0.97%
Confidence
Moderate
Market regime
Consolidation
Technical score
-2
RSI (14)
36.3
Close vs 20 EMA
77,174.99
Weekly range
76,135.7277,231.87
Immediate resistance
77,119.62 · 77,723.82
Immediate support
76,023.48 · 75,531.52
Bias invalidation
Bias valid above 76,023.48 · Bearish risk below 75,531.52 · Bullish upside above 77,119.62
Expected weekly range: 75,857.7477,173.12

Previous week at a glance

Nifty 50
Open · High
24,117.55 · 24,143.15
Low · Close
23,786.80 · 23,897.70
Return
-1.15%
Range (pts / %)
356.35 · 1.47%
Sessions +/−
1 / 4
Candle type
Neutral candle
Low 23,786.80Close 23,897.70 · 31%High 24,143.15
Strongest session
2026-09-02+56.45
Weakest session
2026-09-03-124.50
Bank Nifty
Open · High
57,353.75 · 58,024.95
Low · Close
56,823.20 · 57,369.65
Return
-0.22%
Range (pts / %)
1,201.75 · 2.09%
Sessions +/−
2 / 3
Candle type
Bullish candle with upper wick
Low 56,823.20Close 57,369.65 · 45%High 58,024.95
Strongest session
2026-08-31+671.20
Weakest session
2026-09-01-150.70
Sensex
Open · High
77,130.73 · 77,231.87
Low · Close
76,135.72 · 76,515.43
Return
-0.97%
Range (pts / %)
1,096.15 · 1.42%
Sessions +/−
1 / 4
Candle type
Neutral candle
Low 76,135.72Close 76,515.43 · 35%High 77,231.87
Strongest session
2026-09-02+99.03
Weakest session
2026-09-03-572.09

Technical scorecards

NIFTY 50
Total -2
IndicatorReadingSignalScore
Weekly structureLower high/mixedNeutral+0
Close vs 20 EMABelow (24139.43)Negative-1
Close vs 50 EMABelow (24150.72)Negative-1
Close vs 200 EMABelow (24614.81)Negative-1
RSI (14)33.57Negative-1
Weekly return-1.15%Negative-1
BANK NIFTY
Total +2
IndicatorReadingSignalScore
Weekly structureHigher highPositive+1
Close vs 20 EMABelow (57505.18)Negative-1
Close vs 50 EMAAbove (57316.92)Positive+1
Close vs 200 EMAAbove (57280.53)Positive+1
RSI (14)47.99Neutral+0
Weekly return-0.22%Neutral+0
SENSEX
Total -2
IndicatorReadingSignalScore
Weekly structureLower high/mixedNeutral+0
Close vs 20 EMABelow (77174.99)Negative-1
Close vs 50 EMABelow (77236.66)Negative-1
Close vs 200 EMABelow (79365.49)Negative-1
RSI (14)36.33Negative-1
Weekly return-0.97%Negative-1

Recommended bands: +6 Strong Bullish · +3 to +5 Bullish · −2 to +2 Neutral · −3 to −5 Bearish · −6 Strong Bearish.

Support & resistance zones (with confluence scoring)

Nifty 50
Support zones
ZoneStrengthConfluenceFactors
23,682.2123,801.69Strong3
Weekly pivotWeekly lowPsychological 23700
23,526.4623,645.94Moderate2
Weekly pivotPsychological 23600
Resistance zones
ZoneStrengthConfluenceFactors
24,038.5624,158.04Very Strong5
Weekly pivot20 EMA50 EMAWeekly highPsychological 24100
24,239.1624,358.64Moderate2
Weekly pivotPsychological 24300
Bank Nifty
Support zones
ZoneStrengthConfluenceFactors
56,643.4956,930.34Strong3
Weekly pivotWeekly lowPsychological 56800
56,060.7656,347.61Moderate2
Weekly pivotPsychological 56200
Resistance zones
ZoneStrengthConfluenceFactors
57,845.2458,132.09Strong3
Weekly pivotWeekly highPsychological 58000
58,464.2658,751.11Moderate2
Weekly pivotPsychological 58500
Sensex
Support zones
ZoneStrengthConfluenceFactors
75,832.1976,214.77Strong3
Weekly pivotWeekly lowPsychological 76000
75,340.2375,722.81Moderate2
Weekly pivotPsychological 75500
Resistance zones
ZoneStrengthConfluenceFactors
76,928.3477,310.91Very Strong5
Weekly pivot20 EMA50 EMAWeekly highPsychological 77000
77,532.5377,915.11Moderate2
Weekly pivotPsychological 77700

Confluence counts independent factors overlapping the zone (weekly pivot, moving averages, weekly high/low, psychological round-numbers).

Expected weekly ranges (multi-method)

Nifty 50
Close 23,897.70
Historical volatility
23,719.1224,076.27
Width 357.15
Previous-week range
23,683.8924,111.51
Width 427.62
Options-implied
23,721.5524,073.85
Width 352.30
Combined reference
23,708.1924,087.21
Width 379.02

Historical volatility uses the last 20 daily returns × √5. Previous-week range is scaled by 0.6. Combined = midpoint of the two ranges. Options-implied range is populated when weekly ATM straddle data is available.

Bank Nifty
Close 57,369.65
Historical volatility
56,763.1257,976.17
Width 1,213.05
Previous-week range
56,648.6058,090.70
Width 1,442.10
Options-implied
56,021.4558,717.85
Width 2,696.40
Combined reference
56,477.7258,261.57
Width 1,783.85

Historical volatility uses the last 20 daily returns × √5. Previous-week range is scaled by 0.6. Combined = midpoint of the two ranges. Options-implied range is populated when weekly ATM straddle data is available.

Sensex
Close 76,515.43
Historical volatility
75,829.1077,201.76
Width 1,372.66
Previous-week range
75,857.7477,173.12
Width 1,315.38
Options-implied
75,697.0877,333.78
Width 1,636.70
Combined reference
75,794.6477,236.22
Width 1,441.58

Historical volatility uses the last 20 daily returns × √5. Previous-week range is scaled by 0.6. Combined = midpoint of the two ranges. Options-implied range is populated when weekly ATM straddle data is available.

Options positioning

Nifty 50
Exp 2026-09-08
23,897.70ATM 23,900
PCR (OI)
0.851
PCR (volume)
1.056
Max pain
23,950
ATM straddle
176.15
Implied move
± 0.74%
Call wall
24,000
Put floor
23,900
Options-implied range
23,721.5524,073.85

Balanced positioning

Bank Nifty
Exp 2026-09-29
57,369.65ATM 57,400
PCR (OI)
1.032
PCR (volume)
0.965
Max pain
57,500
ATM straddle
1,348.20
Implied move
± 2.35%
Call wall
57,500
Put floor
57,500
Options-implied range
56,021.4558,717.85

Balanced positioning

Sensex
Exp 2026-09-10
76,515.43ATM 76,500
PCR (OI)
1.112
PCR (volume)
1.136
Max pain
76,700
ATM straddle
818.35
Implied move
± 1.07%
Call wall
77,000
Put floor
75,000
Options-implied range
75,697.0877,333.78

Balanced positioning

PCR = Put OI / Call OI. Values ≥ 1.25 = put-heavy, potentially supportive. ≤ 0.75 = call-heavy, potentially resistance-heavy. Options positioning may change materially after the market opens, around major events and near contract expiry.

Options open-interest heatmap

Nifty 50 · OI ladder (±10 strikes around ATM 23,900)
CE OICE ΔCE IVStrikePE IVPE ΔPE OI
58,110021.323,40011.1043,79,375
44,135019.023,45010.4026,00,260
2,72,870018.523,5009.801,04,67,405
61,945017.523,5509.3029,31,240
2,52,265016.023,6009.0086,80,945
1,17,455014.723,6508.5050,31,195
4,41,545013.723,7008.2080,20,805
4,85,875012.823,7507.9044,21,235
19,98,685012.123,8007.601,13,68,435
13,53,560011.523,8507.1060,57,090
54,56,100010.823,900ATM6.901,26,30,865
78,91,130010.423,9506.3066,26,555
1,65,98,335010.124,0005.6069,24,320
75,06,39509.724,0504.5015,62,600
1,18,98,51009.624,1000.0028,49,340
67,82,68509.424,1500.007,68,300
1,19,82,62009.424,2000.0020,83,770
54,48,88509.324,2500.004,32,250
1,06,34,39009.424,3000.0011,18,585
46,26,44009.724,3500.001,66,010
1,01,11,595010.124,4000.004,81,260
Bank Nifty · OI ladder (±10 strikes around ATM 57,400)
CE OICE ΔCE IVStrikePE IVPE ΔPE OI
4,350011.156,40011.7055,110
56,670011.656,50011.604,80,240
4,920011.756,60011.6054,900
99,780011.456,70011.5064,530
13,620011.456,80011.5091,710
25,290011.356,90011.4097,380
3,02,250011.257,00011.308,29,950
44,430011.057,10011.2073,950
80,340011.057,20011.101,95,600
1,02,840011.157,30011.003,49,560
1,36,980011.057,400ATM11.003,00,780
19,50,060010.857,50010.9019,43,100
2,51,940010.957,60010.901,16,250
2,90,820010.757,70010.901,83,210
3,01,830010.857,80010.902,09,280
1,97,760010.757,90010.701,74,780
13,27,320010.658,00010.7010,47,360
1,17,810010.658,10010.7057,630
1,46,370010.558,20010.7077,760
1,50,810010.558,30010.4071,370
1,21,320010.658,40010.4035,010
Sensex · OI ladder (±10 strikes around ATM 76,500)
CE OICE ΔCE IVStrikePE IVPE ΔPE OI
25,620013.075,50010.603,81,840
3,840013.375,60010.601,31,680
3,440012.775,70010.5088,720
4,540012.675,80010.301,11,480
7,680012.475,90010.2097,220
65,920012.276,0009.904,72,920
19,780011.976,1009.901,55,240
32,060011.676,2009.703,27,140
37,960011.576,3009.602,24,740
51,400011.376,4009.401,89,980
3,28,940011.076,500ATM9.405,78,180
3,70,520010.776,6009.203,92,360
4,34,280010.876,7008.903,77,680
3,10,060010.876,8008.902,40,960
2,51,780010.576,9008.701,51,460
7,43,960010.477,0008.704,65,160
1,85,920010.577,1008.5047,120
2,37,840010.377,2008.3038,680
1,86,280010.377,3007.9020,860
1,18,580010.377,4007.7014,840
3,19,980010.177,5007.501,19,900

Conditional scenarios · bullish / range-bound / bearish

Nifty 50
Bullish scenario
Trigger 24,098.30 · A sustained move above 24098.3 with supportive breadth may open room toward 24298.9.
Invalidates if price returns below 23,741.95.
Range-bound scenario
Range 23,741.9524,098.30. Trading between 23741.95 and 24098.3 would indicate continued consolidation near the pivot at 23942.55.
Bearish scenario
Trigger 23,741.95 · A sustained break below 23741.95 may expose the 23586.2 support zone.
Invalidates if price recovers above 24,098.30.
Bias invalidation framework
Bias valid above 23,741.95 · Bearish risk below 23,586.20 · Bullish conviction above 24,098.30
Bank Nifty
Bullish scenario
Trigger 57,988.67 · A sustained move above 57988.67 with supportive breadth may open room toward 58607.68.
Invalidates if price returns below 56,786.92.
Range-bound scenario
Range 56,786.9257,988.67. Trading between 56786.92 and 57988.67 would indicate continued consolidation near the pivot at 57405.93.
Bearish scenario
Trigger 56,786.92 · A sustained break below 56786.92 may expose the 56204.18 support zone.
Invalidates if price recovers above 57,988.67.
Bias invalidation framework
Bias valid above 56,786.92 · Bearish risk below 56,204.18 · Bullish conviction above 57,988.67
Sensex
Bullish scenario
Trigger 77,119.62 · A sustained move above 77119.62 with supportive breadth may open room toward 77723.82.
Invalidates if price returns below 76,023.48.
Range-bound scenario
Range 76,023.4877,119.62. Trading between 76023.48 and 77119.62 would indicate continued consolidation near the pivot at 76627.67.
Bearish scenario
Trigger 76,023.48 · A sustained break below 76023.48 may expose the 75531.52 support zone.
Invalidates if price recovers above 77,119.62.
Bias invalidation framework
Bias valid above 76,023.48 · Bearish risk below 75,531.52 · Bullish conviction above 77,119.62

Scenarios are conditional and use rule-based technical zones. Not personalised trading or hedging recommendations.

Market breadth & sector confirmation

Advances vs declines
4,2975,2260.82× A/D
Negative Breadth
52W highs / lows
13274
Sector participation
3up10down
Leading: Metal, Media, Oil & Gas
Lagging: Realty, Healthcare, Pharma

Heavyweight contribution

Top positive Nifty 50 movers
  1. SBILIFE
    SBI LIFE INSURANCE CO LTD
    +3.50%
  2. TATASTEEL
    TATA STEEL LIMITED
    +2.49%
  3. HDFCLIFE
    HDFC LIFE INS CO LTD
    +2.42%
  4. RELIANCE
    RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LTD
    +1.50%
  5. TRENT
    TRENT LTD
    +1.33%
Top negative Nifty 50 movers
  1. HCLTECH
    HCL TECHNOLOGIES LTD
    -1.94%
  2. BHARTIARTL
    BHARTI AIRTEL LIMITED
    -1.55%
  3. MARUTI
    MARUTI SUZUKI INDIA LTD.
    -1.27%
  4. COALINDIA
    COAL INDIA LTD
    -1.12%
  5. BAJAJFINSV
    BAJAJ FINSERV LTD.
    -1.11%

Nifty 50 constituents (screener_snapshots) · % change is a proxy for approximate index-point contribution.

Institutional positioning (FII / DII)

As of 04-Sep-2026
FII cash segment
Net-3,112₹ cr
Buy+13,858₹ cr
Sell+16,970₹ cr
DII cash segment
Net+8,930₹ cr
Buy+19,254₹ cr
Sell+10,324₹ cr

Events that could change the technical setup

Later this week
  1. 23:30USUS CPI (Aug)GoldSilverUSD/INR
  2. 23:30USFOMC Rate Decision + Powell Presser (SEP)All marketsGoldSilver
  3. 23:30USUS Non-Farm Payrolls (Sep)GoldSilverUSD/INR
  4. 23:30USUS CPI (Sep)GoldSilverUSD/INR

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