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Currency & Commodity Briefing

Daily USD/INR, gold, silver, crude oil and natural-gas outlook for Indian traders, importers and exporters.

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Market verdict
Rupee steady; bullion steady; energy weak

The dashboard reflects USD/INR +0.01%, Gold +0.37%, Silver -0.53%, Brent -0.40%, WTI -0.68%, Nat Gas -1.49%.

USD/INR +0.01%Gold +0.37%Silver -0.53%Brent -0.40%WTI -0.68%Nat Gas -1.49%
USD / INR (near-month future)
94.73
▲ 0.00 (0.01%)
Prev close
94.73
Day high
—
Day low
—
Source
NSE / Upstox
Gold
3,955.10USD/oz
▲ 14.70 (0.37%)
MCX Gold ₹/10g
1,39,433
MCX change %
-0.54%
Prev close
3,940.40
Source
Yahoo / Upstox
Silver
49.49USD/oz
▼ -0.26 (-0.53%)
MCX Silver ₹/kg
1,79,891
MCX change %
0.11%
Gold/Silver
79.92
Source
Yahoo / Upstox
Crude oil
103.19USD/bbl (Brent)
▼ -0.41 (-0.40%)
WTI
95.44
MCX ₹/bbl
9,110
Brent-WTI
7.75
Source
Yahoo / Upstox
Natural gas
2.85USD/MMBtu
▼ -0.04 (-1.49%)
MCX ₹/MMBtu
274.4
MCX change %
0.62%
Prev close
2.90
Source
Yahoo / Upstox

Cross pairs

EUR / INR
106.5593
▲ 0.41%
GBP / INR
127.5030
▲ 0.41%
JPY / INR
0.6006
▲ 0.02%
EUR / USD
1.1200
▲ 0.52%
GBP / USD
1.3500
▲ 0.38%

Importer & exporter impact

Importer sensitivity
USD payment cost
neutral
Crude / energy cost
mildly supportive
Bullion procurement
mildly adverse
Nat-gas cost
supportive

A ₹0.10 change in USD/INR alters a USD 1,00,000 payment by ≈ ₹10,000 before bank spreads and charges.

Trade Forex

Exporter sensitivity
USD realisation
neutral
EUR realisation
supportive
GBP realisation
mildly supportive

Impact reflects USD/INR direction and EUR/USD, GBP/USD cross moves. Not a hedging recommendation.

Business typeRelevant instrumentsToday's sensitivity
 Oil importersBrent, WTI, USD/INRmildly supportive
AirlinesCrude oil, USD/INRmildly supportive
Paint companiesCrude derivatives, USD/INRmildly supportive
JewellersGold, Silver, USD/INRmildly adverse
Fertiliser companiesNatural gas, USD/INRsupportive
IT exportersUSD/INRneutral
Textile exportersUSD/INR, EUR/USDsupportive
Metal usersSilver, USD/INRmildly adverse

USD / INR — detailed analysis

Near-month future
Price
94.7300
Change
0.0046
% change
0.01%
Prev close
94.7254
Source
NSE / Upstox
Drivers
  • USD/INR is trading higher at 94.73 (+0.01%).
  • Brent crude is lower; crude oil is broadly steady, limiting its impact on the rupee.
Technical scenarios
Current 94.73 · Between S1 and R1 — consolidation
Prev high
94.73
Prev low
94.72
Prev close
94.73
Pivot
94.73
S1
94.72
S2
94.71
R1
94.73
R2
94.74
Sustained trading above 94.7331 may indicate improving intraday momentum.
Trading between 94.7193 and 94.7331 indicates consolidation around the pivot.
A sustained move below 94.7193 may indicate weakening intraday momentum.

Technical levels are classic pivot points calculated from the previous day's high / low / close. General market reference points — not personalised trading recommendations.

Gold — detailed analysis

Gold/Silver ratio: 79.92
International
3,955.10
% change (intl)
0.37%
MCX Gold ₹/10g
1,39,433
MCX % change
-0.54%
Prev close
3,940.40
MCX Gold Mini
1,38,050
Source
Yahoo / Upstox
Drivers
  • International price is higher at 3955.1 (+0.37%).
  • MCX price is lower (-0.54%) — the MCX contract is trading at a discount to the international basis.
Why is the MCX price moving differently?
International
▲ 0.37%
USD/INR contribution
▲ 0.01%
Residual (basis / timing)
▼ -0.92%

MCX % ≈ international % + USD/INR % + residual (basis, timing, local factors). Indicative only when the two feeds have different intra-day snapshot times.

Technical scenarios
Current 3,955.10 · Between S1 and R1 — consolidation
Prev high
3,969.80
Prev low
3,925.70
Prev close
3,940.40
Pivot
3,945.30
S1
3,920.80
S2
3,901.20
R1
3,964.90
R2
3,989.40
Sustained trading above 3964.9 may indicate improving intraday momentum.
Trading between 3920.8 and 3964.9 indicates consolidation around the pivot.
A sustained move below 3920.8 may indicate weakening intraday momentum.

Technical levels are classic pivot points calculated from the previous day's high / low / close. General market reference points — not personalised trading recommendations.

Silver — detailed analysis

Gold/Silver ratio: 79.92
International
49.49
% change (intl)
-0.53%
MCX Silver ₹/kg
1,79,891
MCX % change
0.11%
Prev close
49.75
MCX Silver Mini
1,81,650
Source
Yahoo / Upstox
Drivers
  • International price is lower at 49.49 (-0.53%).
  • MCX price is higher (+0.11%) — the MCX contract is trading at a premium to the international basis.
Why is the MCX price moving differently?
International
▼ -0.53%
USD/INR contribution
▲ 0.01%
Residual (basis / timing)
▲ 0.63%

MCX % ≈ international % + USD/INR % + residual (basis, timing, local factors). Indicative only when the two feeds have different intra-day snapshot times.

Technical scenarios
Current 49.49 · Between S1 and R1 — consolidation
Prev high
50.01
Prev low
49.23
Prev close
49.75
Pivot
49.66
S1
49.32
S2
48.88
R1
50.10
R2
50.44
Sustained trading above 50.0967 may indicate improving intraday momentum.
Trading between 49.3167 and 50.0967 indicates consolidation around the pivot.
A sustained move below 49.3167 may indicate weakening intraday momentum.

Technical levels are classic pivot points calculated from the previous day's high / low / close. General market reference points — not personalised trading recommendations.

Crude oil — detailed analysis

Brent-WTI spread: 7.75 USD/bbl
Brent
103.19
Brent % change
-0.40%
WTI
95.44
MCX Crude ₹/bbl
9,110
Prev close (Brent)
103.60
MCX % change
0.42%
Source
Yahoo / Upstox
Drivers
  • Brent is lower at 103.19 USD/bbl (-0.40%).
  • WTI is lower (-0.68%), Brent-WTI spread at +7.75 USD/bbl.
  • MCX Crude is higher (+0.42%) — rupee move (USD/INR +0.01%) contributes to the local print.
Why is the MCX price moving differently?
International
▼ -0.40%
USD/INR contribution
▲ 0.01%
Residual (basis / timing)
▲ 0.81%

MCX % ≈ international % + USD/INR % + residual (basis, timing, local factors). Indicative only when the two feeds have different intra-day snapshot times.

Technical scenarios
Current 103.19 · Between S1 and R1 — consolidation
Prev high
104.01
Prev low
102.78
Prev close
103.60
Pivot
103.46
S1
102.92
S2
102.23
R1
104.15
R2
104.69
Sustained trading above 104.1467 may indicate improving intraday momentum.
Trading between 102.9167 and 104.1467 indicates consolidation around the pivot.
A sustained move below 102.9167 may indicate weakening intraday momentum.

Technical levels are classic pivot points calculated from the previous day's high / low / close. General market reference points — not personalised trading recommendations.

Natural gas — detailed analysis

Henry Hub vs MCX
Henry Hub
2.850
% change (intl)
-1.49%
MCX ₹/MMBtu
274.4
MCX % change
0.62%
Prev close (HH)
2.900
Source
Yahoo / Upstox
Drivers
  • Henry Hub natural gas is lower at 2.85 USD/MMBtu (-1.49%).
  • MCX Natural Gas is higher (+0.62%).
Why is the MCX price moving differently?
International
▼ -1.49%
USD/INR contribution
▲ 0.01%
Residual (basis / timing)
▲ 2.10%

MCX % ≈ international % + USD/INR % + residual (basis, timing, local factors). Indicative only when the two feeds have different intra-day snapshot times.

Technical scenarios
Current 2.85 · Between S1 and R1 — consolidation
Prev high
2.95
Prev low
2.80
Prev close
2.90
Pivot
2.88
S1
2.82
S2
2.73
R1
2.97
R2
3.03
Sustained trading above 2.9667 may indicate improving intraday momentum.
Trading between 2.8167 and 2.9667 indicates consolidation around the pivot.
A sustained move below 2.8167 may indicate weakening intraday momentum.

Technical levels are classic pivot points calculated from the previous day's high / low / close. General market reference points — not personalised trading recommendations.

 Currency movement impact calculator

Illustrative only. Excludes bank spreads, forward premia, taxes and transaction charges. Not a hedging recommendation.

At current rate
₹94,73,000
At comparison rate
₹95,23,000
Additional cost
+₹50,000
Per ₹0.10 move
₹10,000
Per 1% move
₹94,730

Economic & event calendar

After Indian close
After 23:30 IST
  1. 23:30US FOMC Rate Decision + Powell PresserAll marketsGoldSilver
Later this week
Upcoming days
  1. 23:30US US Non-Farm Payrolls (Oct)GoldSilverUSD/INR
  2. 23:30US US CPI (Oct)GoldSilverUSD/INR
  3. 23:30US US Non-Farm Payrolls (Nov)GoldSilverUSD/INR
  4. 23:30US US CPI (Nov)GoldSilverUSD/INR
  5. 23:30US FOMC Rate Decision + Powell Presser (SEP)All marketsGoldSilver

Key  currency &  commodity news

  1. Bullion4 Nov 2026, 7:30 am IST
    Gold firms on softer oil prices, US midterm results awaited

    Gold prices experienced a modest uptick in early Asian markets, spurred by a decline in oil prices that has helped ease inflationary concerns. This shift is shaping investor expectations around potential actions from the Federal Reserve. Attention is also focused on the US midter

    Economic Times
  2. Currency4 Nov 2026, 7:33 am IST
    Dollar dips with US midterm results in focus

    The dollar lost ground against key international currencies as investors anticipated Democratic victories in the upcoming US midterm elections. With Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff's reelection in Georgia as a noteworthy milestone, analysts suggest a potential Democratic majority i

    Economic Times
  3. Economic Data4 Nov 2026, 7:18 am IST
    Happiest minds Q2 net profit rises 15% as AI uncertainty weighs

    Happiest Minds Technologies reported a 15.1% increase in net profit for the September quarter compared to the previous year. While revenue grew by 12.5% year-on-year, it reflects ongoing concerns over client decision-making related to artificial intelligence. The company’s managi

    Economic Times

Five things to know in currency & commodities today

  1. 1
    Gold firms on softer oil prices, US midterm results awaited

    Gold prices experienced a modest uptick in early Asian markets, spurred by a decline in oil prices that has helped ease inflationary concerns. This shift is shaping investor expectations around potential actions from the Federal Reserve. Attention is also focused on the US midter

    Economic Times · 4 Nov 2026, 7:30 am IST
  2. 2
    Dollar dips with US midterm results in focus

    The dollar lost ground against key international currencies as investors anticipated Democratic victories in the upcoming US midterm elections. With Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff's reelection in Georgia as a noteworthy milestone, analysts suggest a potential Democratic majority i

    Economic Times · 4 Nov 2026, 7:33 am IST
  3. 3
    Happiest minds Q2 net profit rises 15% as AI uncertainty weighs

    Happiest Minds Technologies reported a 15.1% increase in net profit for the September quarter compared to the previous year. While revenue grew by 12.5% year-on-year, it reflects ongoing concerns over client decision-making related to artificial intelligence. The company’s managi

    Economic Times · 4 Nov 2026, 7:18 am IST

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